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Top 50 Hitting Prospects from 2006: In Review
1)
Delmon Young, OF, Tampa Bay Rays:
Career .292/.325/.435 hitter, had his best season in 2010 with a 121 OPS+.
Still just 25 years old. WAR hates him, career value of -1.0.
2)
Jeremy Hermida, OF, Florida Marlins:
Other than a very good year in 2007, he's been very disappointing, career
mark .259/.335/.417, 97 OPS+. Career WAR of 3.1. Hermida has had a better
career than Delmon? Really?
3) , 3B, Washington Nationals:
.288/.355/.484, career OPS+ 121, Gold glove defense. Career WAR 17.5.
4)
Brandon Wood, SS, Los Angeles Angels:
Looks like a huge bust at this point, .169/.198/.260 in 450 at-bats over
four seasons. Was handled badly by the Angels, but muffed his opportunity
when it finally came. Bad strike zone judgment and loss of confidence key
factors.
5)
Andy Marte, 3B, Boston Red Sox:
Another bust, .218/.277/.358 in 838 at-bats over six seasons. Will show
flashes but just never puts everything together.
6) , OF, Arizona Diamondbacks:
Career .251/.347/.488, 114 OPS+. Doesn't hit for average and prone to
injuries, but draws walks and has good power. Career 5.6 WAR.
7)
Alex Gordon, 3B, Kansas City Royals:
Career .244/.328/.405, 95 OPS+. Aside from a decent sophomore season in
2008, he's been very disappointing. Injuries have been an issue but even
when healthy he hasn't hit as well as anticipated. Not a complete lost
cause yet, but likely needs a change of scenery. Career WAR 4.0.
8) , SS, Arizona Diamondbacks:
.272/.332/.448, 99 OPS+, though 113 last year. A solid player. Career
WAR 8.9.
9) , 1B, Milwaukee Brewers:
.279/.385/.535, 139 OPS+. An outstanding slugger. Career WAR 15.8.
10) , 2B, Los Angeles Angels:
.295/.327/.425, 99 OPS+. Can hit for average, slowed by injuries
earlier in his career. Career WAR 9.6.
11) , OF, Arizona Diamondbacks:
.241/.316/.441, 92 OPS+, good power, draws walks, strikes out a lot and
won't hit for average, strong defense. Career WAR 4.9.
12)
Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C, Atlanta Braves:
Career .248/.315/.386, 82 OPS+. Bad stagnated, as happens with many
catchers, injuries, etc. Career WAR 0.4.
13)
Joel Guzman, SS-OF, Los Angeles Dodgers:
.232/.306/.321 in 24 major league games. Has settled in as a minor
league slugger, with poor strike zone judgment his main problem. Never
lived up to the tools that scouts saw when he was young.
14) , SS, Arizona Diamondbacks:
He ranked here without having played professionally to that point, being
drafted in '05. .272/.352/.471, 112 OPS+ so far in the majors. Still
just 23. Career WAR 8.4.
15)
Ian Stewart, 3B, Colorado Rockies:
.245/.332/.451, 96 OPS+ in the majors. Has pop, doesn't hit for average,
solid glove at third base. Career WAR 2.5.
16) , OF, Baltimore Orioles:
.298/.368/.463, 118 OPS+, power production has declined since his debut
but gets on base. Career WAR 18.3.
17)
Lastings Milledge, OF, New York Mets:
.269/.328/.394, 91 OPS+. Flashes talent but erratic, hasn't lived up to
his physical tools. Career WAR -2.0.
18) , 1B, Oakland Athletics:
.260/.369/.399, OPS+ 109, seems to be gradually improving each year.
Very strong defense. Career WAR 6.7.
19)
Jeff Clement, C, Seattle Mariners:
Another 2005 draftee who made his debut high on the list. .223/.281/.383
in 363 at-bats over three seasons. Has power, doesn't control zone,
couldn't stay at catcher. Career WAR -1.2.
20)
Conor Jackson, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks:
.276/.358/.419, 98 OPS+. An above average hitter 2006 through 2008, then
crippled by injuries. Career WAR 3.1.
21)
Andy LaRoche, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers:
.224/.304/.338, 71 OPS+. Never got untracked in LA, injuries an issue,
does have a good glove at third but quite disappointing overall. Career
WAR -0.4.
22) , 3B, Milwaukee Brewers:
.307/.364/.554, 140 OPS+. 2005 draft pick made his debut on the list
here. An outstanding hitter. Career WAR 14.5.
23) , 1B, Los Angeles Angels:
.284/.336/.502, 118 OPS+. Excellent season in 2009 but limited by
injuries in '10. Career WAR 4.4.
24) , C, Los Angeles Dodgers:
.272/.365/.396, 101 OPS+. Above-average hitter 2006-2008 but has slipped
the last two seasons. Career WAR 12.7.
25)
Felix Pie, OF, Chicago Cubs:
.255/.305/.394, OPS+ 82. Hasn't lived up to his physical tools, lack of
patience an issue. Career WAR 2.7.
26) , SS, Colorado Rockies:
Another 2005 draft pick, .290/.362/.495, 114 OPS+, gold glove defense,
hard to find a better overall player. Career WAR 18.6.
27) , OF, Seattle Mariners:
.274/.319/.427, 97 OPS+, but 106 OPS+ over the last two seasons despite
weak discipline. Very strong with the glove. Career WAR 7.7.
28)
Erick Aybar, SS, Los Angeles Angels:
.274/.318/.365, 82 OPS+. Good speed, but most of offense lies in his
batting average. Glove decent. Career WAR 4.4.
29) , OF, Kansas City Royals:
.299/.359/.457, 118 OPS+, but production has escalated last two years,
continues to steadily improve. Career WAR 5.0.
30)
Blake DeWitt, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers:
.259/.335/.378, OPS+ 91. Nothing special either offensively or
defensively, but will probably be around a long time. 3.1 career WAR.
31) , OF, Arizona Diamondbacks:
.299/.344/.519, OPS 119+, broke out in 2010. Tools player who made good.
7.7 career WAR.
32)
Marcus Sanders, 2B, San Francisco Giants:
Never reached the majors, injuries and offensive collapse.
33)
George Kottaras, C, San Diego Padres:
.213/.305/.394, 85 OPS+, has some pop and can draw a walk but can't hit
for average at all. Career WAR 0.2.
34)
Kevin Melillo, 2B, Oakland Athletics:
Got one at-bat in 2007. A decent enough Triple-A player but didn't live
up to the .305/.399/.535 season (at three levels) he had in '05.
35) , OF, Houston Astros:
.287/.336/.481, 115 OPS+, 6.7 WAR. Steady and consistent.
36)
Justin Huber, 1B, Kansas City Royals:
.224/.276/.304 in 161 at-bats over five seasons. Topped out as a
Triple-A slugger.
37)
Eddy Martinez-Esteve, OF, San Francisco Giants:
Hit .295/.383/.432 in the minors but hasn't reached the majors. Power
vanished after series of shoulder injuries.
38)
Neil Walker, C, Pittsburgh Pirates:
.288/.343/.444, 112 OPS+ in the majors, 462 at-bats. Looked like a
possible bust until 2010. Career WAR 1.0.
39)
Brandon Snyder, C, Baltimore Orioles:
Just 20 major league at-bats so far, but still only 24. Career
.278/.342/.437 hitter in the minors, position switch to first base has
robbed him of much value.
40)
Jose Tabata, OF, New York Yankees:
hit .299/.346/.400 with 19 steals in 2010 rookie year with the Pirates,
WAR 0.8.
41) , OF, Pittsburgh Pirates:
.286/.365/.459, 120 OPS+, plenty of speed, 6.4 career WAR so far. A
very good player who should just get better.
42) , 2B, Boston Red Sox:
Career .305/.369/.460 hitter, 113 OPS+, AL MVP in 2008, 17.7 career WAR.
Obviously excellent.
43)
Stephen Head, 1B, Cleveland Indians:
2005 draft pick looked great after signing but has never lived up to
full potential. .263/.327/.429 hitter in the minors so far, now in indy
ball.
44)
Cody Haerther, OF, St. Louis Cardinals:
hit .307/.355/.538 in 2005 but never did much after that, hampered by
injuries and loss of power in Double-A.
45) , OF, St. Louis Cardinals:
.263/.334/.452, 110 OPS+, much better in 2010 sophomore season. 5.7
career WAR.
46)
Ryan Shealy, 1B, Colorado Rockies:
.268/.331/.424, 95 OPS+, 19 homers in 545 at-bats over six seasons.
Under different circumstances he might have done better.
47)
Wes Bankston, 1B,Tampa Bay Rays:
Hit .203/.238/.305 in 17 games in 2008. Triple-A slugger.
48)
Brent Clevlen, OF, Detroit Tigers:
.234/.280/.429 in 84 at-bats over four seasons. Hit decently in
Triple-A but strikeout problems overrode tools and power.
49) , C-1B, Florida Marlins:
.265/.367/.475, OPS+ 121, 11.0 career WAR. Steady and reliable hitter.
50)
Javier Herrera, OF, Oakland Athletics:
Tools guy, career ruined by injuries. Career .282/.358/.468 when he's
been able to play, no major league time.
There are both tools busts and stathead busts on this list. Biggest
failures: Brandon Wood, Andy Marte, Joel Guzman, Lastings Milledge,
Jeff Clement, Marcus Sanders. Overall I think it is a decent list.
I am more suspicious of one-dimensional slugger types nowadays than
I was back then.
--
◆ From: 122.116.189.142
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