看板MLB
https://reurl.cc/Zb5zza
ESPN對大聯盟業界人士做了個民調
預測法官下一張合約的價碼
We polled more than a dozen MLB executives, agents and insiders to find out.
Here are the 14 predictions from lowest to highest total dollars committed:
共有14種預測出來
7 years for $259 million
10 for $265 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $300 million
7 for $301 million
9 for $320 million
8 for $320 million
8 for $328 million
9 for $333 million
9 for $335 million
10 for $340 million
10 for $341 million
10 for $375 million
And even more interesting, of the nine respondents to project a team Judge will
end up with, four said he will stay with the Yankees, two have him going to the
Mets, two said the Giants and one said the Giants or Dodgers. (More about that l
ater.)
其中有九位有預測落點
洋基:4
大都會:2
巨人:2
巨人或躲人:1
For reference, when the Yankees offered $213.5 million before the season, I esti
mated his true value at that time to be between $213.5 million and $250 million,
and now a panel of experts think he's worth about $320 million. In other words:
Aaron Judge has made about $100 million this year by betting on himself.
這個球季法官把自己身價大升一億美金
近幾年FA野手大約+FA年成績
Bryce Harper, RF, Philadelphia Phillies: 13 years,
$330 million
Walk year (2018, age-25 season, Washington Nationals):
3.1 WAR
Corey Seager, SS, Texas Rangers: 10 years,
$325 million
Walk year (2021, 27, Los Angeles Dodgers):
3.7 WAR
Manny Machado, 3B, San Diego Padres: 10 years,
$300 million
Walk year (2018, 25, Baltimore Orioles/Los Angeles Dodgers):
7.0 WAR
Anthony Rendon, 3B, Los Angeles Angels, 7 years,
$245 million
Walk year (2019, 29, Washington Nationals):
6.8 WAR
Kris Bryant, 3B, Colorado Rockies, 7 years,
$182 million
Walk year (2021, 29, Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants):
3.1 WAR
Marcus Semien, 2B, Texas Rangers, 7 years,
$175 million
Walk year (2021, 30, Toronto Blue Jays):
6.2 WAR
Freddie Freeman, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers, 6 years,
$162 million
Walk year (2021, 31, Atlanta Braves):
4.9 WAR
George Springer, CF, Toronto Blue Jays, 6 years,
$150 million
Walk year (2020, 30, Houston Astros):
1.8 WAR in 60-game season
--
這樣比洋基季初開的還少欸XD
※ 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 220.129.223.129 (臺灣)※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/MLB/M.1664281069.A.521.html
推 kenkuo1688: 265那張是搞笑吧09/27 20:20
推 hcubed: 10年265是哪個「專家」寫的啊 笑死09/27 20:23
推 phrita: 265那張是來鬧的吧09/27 20:24
→ sustainer123: 300以下都可以去掉吧==09/27 20:30
推 JoseIglesias: 怎麼沒有7年$210的09/27 20:41
→ skyloveshe: 嗯專家？09/27 20:41
噓 Aaronko: 貪官 09/27 20:50
→ nadleeh: 應該會比油柯那約大張吧 09/27 20:52
→ borriss: 92年班真神奇( 09/27 20:54
推 laking: 10年吧就看他要不要打那麼久 09/27 21:35
噓 darkMood: 今年應該是法官生涯打最好一年，然後開始躺著算錢 09/27 22:16
推 peiic: AAV要破40吧 不然早簽了qq 09/27 22:22
推 nnbak85551: Nani!? 怎麼有躲躲的名字== 09/27 22:37
推 Keane86: 我說 那個躲人怎麼會出現啦XD 09/27 22:55
→ sft005: 商品部銷售人員那種業內人士嗎 09/27 23:00
推 bkm1: 280M/7y 或 300M/8y 老人簽走 大概是這樣 09/27 23:03
推 laking: 有30個球隊，只要有一個球隊願意給法官溢價約他就贏了 09/27 23:34
推 shigurew: 感覺是8y280~300 09/27 23:34
推 saiulbb: 個人猜$330MM/9YR +1YR選擇權 09/27 23:40
噓 Derp: 五年兩百 不要拉倒 09/27 23:52
推 n613011: 我猜 10Y 340M 09/27 23:53
推 chunyaya: 搞不好法官是要十年約 均薪少一點阿XD 09/28 00:03
推 sam9595: 猜 300M / 8Y 09/28 00:41
推 AaronJudge: 不會投球應該只能拿200吧（插E_‧`） 09/28 00:41
推 laking: 本人不要貶低自己阿好好拿你的溢價約 09/28 00:53
推 Mikufans: 法官陣營之前說不接受AAV36M還在季中時候，下半季又猛 09/28 01:14
→ Mikufans: 成這樣怎麼可能均薪低 09/28 01:14
推 milu0723: 沒拿個三億鎂出來就不用簽了 09/28 01:34
推 sunnyyoung: 7年3億最合理 09/28 02:07
推 CR77: 7Y 245M 我玩OOTP會給這樣 09/28 02:07
推 erimow: 7年280或8年305吧 09/28 02:43
推 muzowdi: 請教一下文章中的walk year是甚麼意思 09/28 05:22
推 ignativs: 簽到的球隊是好還是不好 09/28 07:09
→ triff: 求洋基能以8年350M續約法官 09/28 08:23
推 wl02485605: 請紐約的球隊跟他簽長約！！ 09/28 08:55
→ swatch44: 每年60轟 10y/500m 09/28 09:04
推 Sechslee: 就合約年 09/28 10:41
→ k33536: 亂槍打鳥嗎 笑死 09/28 11:02
→ bdgg: 10年/50元 09/28 18:17
推 cashman795: 合約年發威 然後馬上躺下去的案例太多， 洋基你保 09/28 19:19
→ cashman795: 重…. 09/28 19:19
推 kingwei520: NYY要簽啦，MVP耶 09/28 19:39
→ kingwei520: NYY上個MVP都不知道何時了 09/28 19:39
推 laking: 簽了就是一直豪華稅突破再突破，如果今年沒有冠軍大概極 09/28 20:23
→ laking: 限也在那了 09/28 20:23
推 AV771118: 應該會想要比Happer大張 09/29 04:40
→ AV771118: 9年340M? 09/29 04:40
推 cbj1992a: 用年齡推，9Y320M比較可能發生 09/29 09:41
推 yoysky: 8年300M 09/29 10:42
推 azlbf: 我覺得8年300 09/29 14:42
推 laking: 巨人不會開那麼少啦 09/29 21:32
推 jeter8695: 10年/500M 洋基續了 09/29 23:52
推 ray102004: 法官要的是10年約 09/30 03:23